Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

High probability of Seattle receiving 5-6 inches of precipitation in March.

The market shows an 88.25% probability for Seattle experiencing between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March, indicating strong confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, suggesting a consensus among participants. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 111 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors precipitation in the specified range.
• 2 The probability from Pulse AI closely matches the market odds.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 The time to expiry is relatively short at 111 hours.
• 5 Market pricing indicates no significant edge in either direction.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.