Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in March?

The market predicts low chances of Seattle receiving 7-8 inches of rain in March.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that Seattle will not experience between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in March, with a NO probability of 97.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for YES. This suggests a consensus that significant rainfall in this range is unlikely.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 97.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly more optimistic with a YES probability of 4.5%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 105 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.