Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?

Market strongly favors more than 3 inches of precipitation in Seattle this March.

The prediction market indicates a 99.7% probability that Seattle will have more than 3 inches of precipitation in March, with a low probability of 0.30% for less. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a 97.7% chance of exceeding this threshold. Given the confidence level of 60/100 and the edge of 2, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors more than 3 inches of precipitation.
• 2 Historical data suggests Seattle typically experiences significant rainfall in March.
• 3 The market's edge indicates it is fairly priced with no major discrepancies.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 109 hours until expiry, allowing for potential updates.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, supporting the current market probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.