Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?

Low probability for Seattle exceeding 8 inches of precipitation in March.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Seattle receiving more than 8 inches of precipitation in March, with a 97.5% probability for 'NO'. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, indicating a well-priced market with moderate confidence.

• 1 Market heavily favors 'NO' outcome at 97.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly higher on 'YES' at 4.5%.
• 3 Confidence level at 60/100 suggests moderate certainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 104 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Edge of 2 indicates fair market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.