Will "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

The market strongly favors that Olivia Dean's song will not be #1 on US Spotify this week.

The current market probability indicates a 99.95% chance that 'So Easy (To Fall In Love)' will not reach #1 on US Spotify. With a low confidence level of 65/100 and a slight edge of 0.95, the market appears to be fairly priced. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this outlook, suggesting minimal likelihood of a surprise outcome.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Current sentiment indicates skepticism about the song's rise to #1.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled March 13.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled March 13 by March 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.