Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

The market is evenly split on whether SpaceX will have another public ticker.

Current market probabilities show a slight lean towards 'NO' at 51.15%, while the AI model suggests a marginally higher chance for 'YES' at 51.85%. The close probabilities indicate uncertainty about SpaceX's future public listing strategy.

• 1 Market probabilities are closely matched, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 AI model suggests a slight edge for 'YES', contrasting with market sentiment.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 50/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.

If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).

If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabe