Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Market indicates low likelihood of SpaceX's public ticker being $SPAX.

The current market probability for SpaceX's public ticker being $SPAX stands at 5.60% for YES and 94.4% for NO, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors the NO outcome as well, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors NO for $SPAX.
• 2 Market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.

If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).

If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabe