Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

The market indicates a low probability for the song to reach #1 on US Spotify this week.

With a market probability of only 5% for a YES outcome, it suggests that there is minimal expectation for 'Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson' to achieve the top spot. The market appears fairly priced with no edge, reflecting a consensus that the song is unlikely to perform well this week.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome at 95%.
• 2 The market probability aligns with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 No significant edge indicates market stability in pricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled March 13.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled March 13 by March 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.