Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Low probability for Tesla to be the largest company by market cap by year-end.

The market probability for Tesla being the largest company by market cap on December 31 is only 3.35%, indicating widespread skepticism. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 4.85%, suggesting a marginally more optimistic view, but still reflects a low likelihood of this outcome. With a confidence level of 80/100 and a fair pricing edge of 1.5, the market appears stable in its assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 96.65%.
• 2 Tesla's recent performance and competition impact perceptions.
• 3 Historical trends show tech companies struggle to maintain top market cap.
• 4 Liquidity in the market suggests stable betting patterns.
• 5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.