Will Tesla dip to $263 in March?

Market shows low probability of Tesla dipping to $263 in March.

The prediction market indicates a 1.7% chance of Tesla's stock price falling to $263 by March, with a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI model assigns a slightly higher probability of 4.7%, suggesting some uncertainty, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current market probability favors a stable or rising Tesla stock price.
• 2 The Pulse AI model reflects a slightly higher risk perception than the market.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 496 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3, suggesting balanced views.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.