Will Tesla dip to $405 in March?

The market strongly predicts Tesla will dip to $405 in March.

With a market probability of 100% for a dip to $405, sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 98% probability, indicating strong alignment between human and AI predictions. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -2, suggesting limited room for volatility.

• 1 Market sentiment is highly bullish on a dip to $405.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a strong consensus among traders.
• 3 Current confidence level is relatively high at 75/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited at 402 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.