Will Tesla reach $503 in March?

Market predicts Tesla will not reach $503 in March with high confidence.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Tesla reaching $503 in March, with a 97.55% probability for 'NO'. Both the market and AI probabilities suggest a low likelihood of this price point being achieved, indicating a stable sentiment among participants.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 AI probability slightly higher than market, indicating some optimism.
• 3 Time to expiry is relatively short at 398 hours.
• 4 Current sentiment reflects skepticism about Tesla's price movement.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.