Will Tesla reach $533 in March?

Market indicates low probability of Tesla reaching $533 in March.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Tesla reaching $533 in March, with a probability of only 1.40% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of this price target being achieved. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative towards Tesla reaching $533.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a consensus on low price potential.
• 3 Time to expiry is relatively short at 403 hours, limiting potential for price changes.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 An edge score of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.