Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Market favors Tesla closing below $415, with low probability for the $415-$420 range.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for Tesla not closing in the $415-$420 range, with an 86.5% probability against it. The AI model also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a consensus that the stock is unlikely to reach this price range within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 86.5%.
• 2 AI model suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 18%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 35 hours, increasing urgency.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this mark