Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Market indicates low likelihood of Tesla closing above $430 this week.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Tesla closing above $430, with a probability of only 1.65% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 4.65%, but overall, both sources indicate a low likelihood of this event occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical performance suggests TSLA rarely closes above $430 in similar timeframes.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with no unusual trading activity.
• 4 Time pressure is limited with only 35 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this mark