Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?

Low probability for 'The Romantic' to be #1 album on Billboard 200 for March 21.

The current market probability indicates a strong belief that 'The Romantic' will not be the #1 album, with a 98.55% NO probability. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability of 2.95%. Given the edge of 1.5, the market appears to be fairly priced with moderate confidence.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against 'The Romantic' being #1.
• 2 Current sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 3 Historical data suggests low chances for albums to rise unexpectedly.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable with clear pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 137 hours until expiry.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.