Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Market strongly favors NO for Z.ai having the best math AI model by March 31.

The prediction market shows a dominant NO probability of 99.85% regarding Z.ai's chances of having the best AI model for math by March 31. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a consensus that Z.ai is unlikely to achieve this status. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a fair pricing edge, the market reflects a cautious outlook on Z.ai's capabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance of YES at 3.15%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is 427 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.