xAI IPO before 2027?

The market strongly favors that xAI will not IPO before 2027.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that xAI will not go public before 2027, with a very low AI probability of 1.5% for an IPO. The confidence level of 80 suggests a strong consensus among participants that the IPO is unlikely within the specified timeframe.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief (100%) against an xAI IPO before 2027.
• 2 AI probability suggests minimal chance (1.5%) of an IPO occurring.
• 3 Confidence level at 80 indicates strong market conviction.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 6786 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.