What the markets say about today's biggest events — updated as odds move.
With a 99.95% probability, prediction markets suggest Thailand will have a new PM by March 31....
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood of the court forcing Trump to refund tariffs, reflecting public sentiment a...
Prediction markets show low odds for Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert in the upcoming Lyon mayoral election....
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood of Trump mentioning 'Hormuz' during upcoming Taoiseach events....
Prediction markets suggest Renan Santos faces long odds for second place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election....
With a 52.97% chance of recession predicted, markets reflect growing uncertainty about Trump's economic policies....
Prediction markets indicate a strong skepticism about Manfred Reyes Villa's chances in the upcoming Cochabamba mayoral e...
Prediction markets indicate strong skepticism about Jazmin Robinson's chances for the Democratic nomination in IL-07....
Current prediction markets indicate strong sentiment that Trump will maintain trade with Spain....
Current prediction markets show surprising potential for a Republican House majority in 2026....
Prediction markets show low confidence in Christoph La'Flare Chapman's bid for Senate nominee in Georgia....
Prediction markets show strong consensus against Trump using the term this week....
Prediction markets indicate overwhelming belief that Trump will mention Karoline Leavitt during Women's History Month....
Current prediction markets indicate slim odds for Jhonny Fernández in the 2026 mayoral race....
Prediction markets show Adam Crum facing significant hurdles in the 2026 Alaska governor election....
Current prediction markets show a low probability for Palestine joining the Board of Peace....
Jean-Luc Moudenc's bid for re-election as Toulouse's mayor shows divided sentiment in prediction markets ahead of the 20...