What the markets say about today's biggest events — updated as odds move.
Prediction markets show a strong belief that US unemployment will remain below 5.5% in 2026....
Prediction markets indicate a strong sentiment against average daily transits in the Strait of Hormuz reaching 40-50 on ...
Current prediction markets show minimal chance of a US recession by end of 2025....
Current odds suggest a lower likelihood of the Fed's lower bound reaching 2.75% before 2027....
Prediction markets show low odds for a Fed rate hike in 2026, reflecting cautious economic sentiment....
As tensions persist, prediction markets indicate low confidence in normal traffic by April 30....
Prediction markets suggest a strong likelihood of no change in Fed interest rates after June 2026....
Markets show mixed predictions on vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz next week....
Current prediction markets show overwhelming confidence against a rise in inflation this February....
Prediction markets indicate a strong likelihood of the S&P 500 opening higher on March 10, reflecting investor sentiment...
Recent prediction markets indicate a strong consensus against Fed rate cuts in upcoming meetings....
Current prediction markets suggest strong confidence in Jerome Powell's continued leadership at the Fed until at least 2...
Markets indicate only a slim chance of a Fed rate cut by March 2026, reflecting cautious sentiment....
Current prediction markets show strong confidence against a rate decrease by the BoJ post-March 2026 meeting....
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood of the federal funds rate exceeding 3.0% by 2026....
Current prediction markets indicate a significant probability of inflation exceeding 3% by 2026....
Prediction markets show a low likelihood of a US recession by the end of 2026....