What the markets say about today's biggest events — updated as odds move.
Prediction markets indicate a strong likelihood of the S&P 500 opening higher on March 10, reflecting investor sentiment...
Recent prediction markets indicate a strong consensus against Fed rate cuts in upcoming meetings....
Current prediction markets suggest strong confidence in Jerome Powell's continued leadership at the Fed until at least 2...
Markets indicate only a slim chance of a Fed rate cut by March 2026, reflecting cautious sentiment....
Current prediction markets show strong confidence against a rate decrease by the BoJ post-March 2026 meeting....
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood of the federal funds rate exceeding 3.0% by 2026....
Current prediction markets indicate a significant probability of inflation exceeding 3% by 2026....
Prediction markets show a low likelihood of a US recession by the end of 2026....
Judy Shelton's bid for Fed Chair faces strong skepticism, with prediction markets showing a low likelihood of confirmati...
As 2026 approaches, prediction markets indicate a strong sentiment against Fed rate cuts....
Markets show negligible probability of the Fed decreasing rates post-March 2026 meeting....