Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
73% | 68% | -6 pts | 55 | YES |
|
Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of…
Manifold
Crypto
|
96.36% | 90.36% | -6 pts | 55 | YES |
|
Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
60% | 49.2% | -6 pts | 55 | ~ |
|
Will something happen in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
70% | 63% | -6 pts | 55 | YES |
|
Will Bitcoin reach $1M before it reaches $100?
Manifold
Crypto
|
82.19% | 76.19% | -6 pts | 50 | YES |
|
Will Bitcoin drop below 50k before it reaches 200k?
Manifold
Crypto
|
75.68% | 70.1% | -6 pts | 50 | YES |
|
Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by E…
Manifold
Crypto
|
50% | 62% | -6 pts | 50 | YES |
|
Will bitcoin hit $300k before 2040-01-23?
Manifold
Crypto
|
74.32% | 69% | -6 pts | 50 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 65 | YES |
|
Will BTC exceed 73k before Sunday, March 22, 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
1% | 37.39% | +5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
Manifold
Crypto
|
10.82% | 16% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Tether collapse before 2027?
Manifold
Crypto
|
6% | 11% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
43% | 52.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
56% | 49.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
30.5% | 50% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |