Events › AI & Tech › Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?…
AI & Tech 2 platforms 4 markets

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Combined AI YES
22.4%
Avg Confidence
63/100
Combined Volume
$1.8M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?…
2.00%
3.50%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$491K
Volume
Polymarket
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?…
0.45%
23.50%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$798K
Volume
Polymarket
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?…
7.50%
51.50%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$404K
Volume
Manifold
Claude 5 released before March 31?…
1.00%
15.40%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$78K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?…
 2.00% 3.50% +1.5
75
$491K
Polymarket
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?…
near 		0.45% 23.50% +3
60
$798K
Polymarket
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?…
near 		7.50% 51.50% +3
60
$404K
Manifold
Claude 5 released before March 31?…
near 		1.00% 15.40% +4.5
55
$78K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 2.00% NO 98.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.45% NO 99.55%
Polymarket
YES 7.50% NO 92.50%
Manifold
YES 1.00% NO 99.00%
Spread: 7.1 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
  • 2 The probability gap suggests a well-established consensus.
  • 3 Confidence level of 75 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry of 2698 hours allows for potential updates.
  • 5 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category AI & Tech
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 4 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 2.00%
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?…
Polymarket 0.45%
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?…
Polymarket 7.50%
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?…
Manifold 1.00%
Claude 5 released before March 31?…
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