Events › Other › Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottes…
Other 1 platform 4 markets

Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Combined AI YES
25.6%
Avg Confidence
64/100
Combined Volume
$279K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?…
99.95%
95.20%
AI YES
-1.5
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$114K
Volume
Polymarket
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?…
0.05%
1.00%
AI YES
+0.2
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$98K
Volume
Polymarket
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?…
0.05%
1.65%
AI YES
0
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$58K
Volume
Polymarket
Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?…
1.40%
2.90%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$9K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on recor…
 99.95% 95.20% -1.5
65
$114K
Polymarket
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?…
near 		0.05% 1.00% +0.2
65
$98K
Polymarket
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?…
near 		0.05% 1.65% 0
65
$58K
Polymarket
Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?…
near 		1.40% 2.90% +1.5
60
$9K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 99.95% NO 0.05%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 1.40% NO 98.60%
Spread: 99.9 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of a hot February 2026.
  • 2 Historical temperature data supports the likelihood of high temperatures.
  • 3 Current climate models predict continued warming trends.
  • 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, with no major fluctuations.
  • 5 Time pressure is low, with only 7 hours until expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 4 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 99.95%
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?…
Polymarket 1.40%
Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?…
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