Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral elect…

0.05%

3.10%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.8M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral elec…

0.00%

4.65%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$2.7M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?…

99.75%

94.40%

AI YES

-5.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$220K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?…

0.15%

4.85%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$209K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?…

0.15%

4.65%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$190K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral …	0.05%	3.10%	+3	75	$1.8M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral… near	0.00%	4.65%	+4.5	60	$2.7M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?… near	99.75%	94.40%	-5.5	60	$220K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral elect… near	0.15%	4.85%	+4.5	60	$209K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral electi… near	0.15%	4.65%	+4.5	60	$190K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral electio… near	0.15%	4.80%	+4.5	60	$45K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.05% NO 99.95%

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 99.75% NO 0.25%

Polymarket

YES 0.15% NO 99.85%

Polymarket

YES 0.15% NO 99.85%

Spread: 99.8 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low chances for YES.
3 Current confidence level suggests a stable market without major fluctuations.
4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential changes in sentiment.
5 Limited liquidity may impact the ability to shift market probabilities.