Events › Geopolitics › Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March …
Geopolitics 1 platform 8 markets

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?

Combined AI YES
37.4%
Avg Confidence
75/100
Combined Volume
$1.4M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?…
0.95%
2.95%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
70
Confidence
$208K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?…
99.95%
43.00%
AI YES
-4.5
Edge pts
70
Confidence
$411K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?…
99.95%
54.50%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$309K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?…
12.50%
14.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$145K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?…
0.00%
2.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
70
Confidence
$124K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?…
 0.95% 2.95% +2
70
$208K
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?…
near 		99.95% 43.00% -4.5
70
$411K
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?…
near 		99.95% 54.50% -6
80
$309K
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?…
near 		12.50% 14.50% +2
80
$145K
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 202…
near 		0.00% 2.00% +2
70
$124K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.95% NO 99.05%
Polymarket
YES 99.95% NO 0.05%
Polymarket
YES 99.95% NO 0.05%
Polymarket
YES 12.50% NO 87.50%
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Spread: 100 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment favors a Russian capture of Hryshyne.
  • 2 Market probability suggests a close contest between YES and NO.
  • 3 Historical trends in similar conflicts may inform future outcomes.
  • 4 Liquidity in the market indicates active participation from traders.
  • 5 Time pressure is moderate with 513 hours until expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 8 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.95%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?…
Polymarket 99.95%
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?…
Polymarket 99.95%
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?…
Polymarket 12.50%
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?…
Polymarket 0.00%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?…
+3 more markets
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