Events › Business & Finance › Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% b…
Business & Finance 1 platform 2 markets

Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?

Combined AI YES
55.3%
Avg Confidence
58/100
Combined Volume
$64K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of Ju…
9.00%
14.50%
AI YES
+5.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of…
98.41%
92.79%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$64K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end …
 9.00% 14.50% +5.5
55
—
Manifold
Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the e…
near 		98.41% 92.79% -6
60
$64K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 9.00% NO 91.00%
Manifold
YES 98.41% NO 1.59%
Spread: 89.4 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a decline in the fed funds rate.
  • 2 Key factors include inflation trends and economic growth forecasts.
  • 3 Historical base rates suggest a tendency for rates to fluctuate based on economic conditions.
  • 4 Liquidity in the market is high, reflecting strong participant engagement.
  • 5 Time pressure is significant with 6793 hours until market expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Business & Finance
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 9.00%
Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of Ju…
Manifold 98.41%
Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of…
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