Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

118 canonical events โ€ข Updated every sync cycle
All ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics โšฝ Sports โ‚ฟ Crypto ๐Ÿค– AI & Tech ๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance ๐ŸŒ Geopolitics ๐Ÿ”ฌ Science & Health ๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment ๐Ÿ”ฎ Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Fed rate hike in 2026?
19.7%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $748K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
60%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $121K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?
23.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?
53.7%
Avg YES
Manifold $64K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Will this market have more than 50 unique traders by the end of this week?
15.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
28.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $8K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
46.5%
Avg YES
Manifold $4K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 2 markets
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
14.7%
Avg YES
Polymarket $391K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
88.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $1M
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
2.8%
Avg YES
Polymarket $223K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
57%
Avg YES
Polymarket $202K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
10.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $132K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
98%
Avg YES
Manifold $276K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
85%
Avg YES
Manifold $13K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will Maxx Crosby get traded from the Las Vegas Raiders before March 10th?
89%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?
18.9%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will this market have a number of traders that is equal to a prime number?
14.9%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will this market get at least 50 unique traders before April?
20.7%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
33%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will I resolve this market to yes within 12 hours of it reaching 10 traders?
96.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $9K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $63 in 2026?
50.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $34K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will total US trade in goods with Greenland be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
1.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
45.6%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance 1 market
How many traders will bet?
41.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
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