What the markets say about today's biggest events — updated as odds move.
As the Howard Bison face the UMBC Retrievers, prediction markets suggest a potential undervaluation of the NO outcome....
Current prediction markets indicate a low probability for US military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31....
Current prediction markets suggest low likelihood of NATO exits by June 2026....
Current prediction markets indicate a low probability of foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31....
Current prediction markets indicate a low probability of US accusing Iran of the Oslo embassy attack....
Prediction markets reveal low confidence in a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine....
Current prediction markets indicate a 53% chance of Iran's government falling by 2030, but caution is advised....
Prediction markets show strong confidence in 'Sinners' winning more than three Oscars, reflecting public sentiment....
Current prediction markets show low odds for US recognizing Reza Pahlavi as Iran's leader by 2026....
Prediction markets indicate a low chance for The Mandalorian and Grogu to be the top movie of 2026....
Prediction markets show a divided sentiment on a potential strike on Iran's Fordow facility by March 31....
Current prediction markets indicate a 98.95% chance against an Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7....
Prediction markets show fluctuating confidence in the P2P Protocol public sale reaching $16M....
Current prediction markets show low confidence in Russia entering Sloviansk by June 30....
Prediction markets indicate a 99.3% chance that neither animated feature will win at the Oscars....
Prediction markets show low likelihood of military conflict between Greece and Turkey by June 30....
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood of a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by March 31....