What the markets say about today's biggest events — updated as odds move.
Prediction markets indicate low odds for military strikes against Iran by March 31....
Current prediction markets indicate a low probability of Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by March 31, reflecting strong publi...
Current prediction markets show a strong consensus against a Gulf State strike on Iran by March 7....
Elon Musk's tweeting activity in March 2026 is predicted to be minimal, according to market sentiment....
Current prediction markets indicate a low chance for 'A House of Dynamite' to win Best Picture at the Oscars....
Current prediction markets show a strong consensus against US military action in Iran....
Current prediction markets indicate a strong consensus against a new Supreme Leader announcement in Iran by March 2026....
Prediction markets indicate low chances of Iran naming a successor to Khamenei by March 6....
Current prediction markets indicate a strong consensus against an invasion of Taiwan by China by 2026....
Prediction markets indicate a 97% chance Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31....
Prediction markets show an 80% chance Mojtaba Khamenei will become Iran's next Supreme Leader....
Prediction markets show low confidence in Stellan Skarsgård winning Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars....
Current prediction markets show low odds for the Iranian regime's fall, indicating public sentiment leans towards stabil...
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by 2026....
Prediction markets show overwhelming odds for an Iranian strike on Israel, highlighting geopolitical tensions....