What the markets say about today's biggest events — updated as odds move.
Prediction markets show a strong consensus against Trump's Nobel Peace Prize chances in 2026....
Current prediction markets indicate a strong consensus against an invasion of Taiwan by China by 2026....
Prediction markets indicate a bearish outlook on Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by 2026....
Valtteri Bottas' chances of becoming the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion are assessed in the latest prediction markets....
Prediction markets indicate a strong likelihood that COM will not secure the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate ele...
Prediction markets show skepticism about Xander Schauffele's chance to win the 2026 Masters....
Prediction markets show a tight race on OG Anunoby's rebounds, indicating mixed public sentiment....
Prediction markets indicate a 97% chance Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31....
Prediction markets show an 80% chance Mojtaba Khamenei will become Iran's next Supreme Leader....
Prediction markets show low confidence in Stellan Skarsgård winning Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars....
Prediction markets indicate a low chance of Phạm Minh Chính becoming Vietnam's next president, reflecting public skep...
Prediction markets indicate a competitive race for Lula in the 2026 Brazilian election....
Prediction markets indicate a strong sentiment against László Toroczkai becoming Hungary's next Prime Minister....
Prediction markets indicate a bullish outlook for crude oil, with a strong chance of hitting $90 by March's end....
Current prediction markets show a strong sentiment against Trump acquiring Greenland by 2027....
Current prediction markets show low confidence in the Avalanche winning the 2026 Stanley Cup....
Prediction markets indicate a strong belief that Jesus Christ will not return before 2027....