Events › Geopolitics › Iran leadership change by March 13?…
Geopolitics 1 platform 6 markets

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Combined AI YES
32.2%
Avg Confidence
77/100
Combined Volume
$10.8M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by March 13?…
0.00%
2.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$5.4M
Volume
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by March 31?…
0.80%
33.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$3.1M
Volume
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by April 30?…
13.50%
40.50%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$1.4M
Volume
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by December 31?…
41.50%
53.00%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$883K
Volume
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by May 31?…
26.50%
31.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$47K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by March 13?…
 0.00% 2.00% +2
85
$5.4M
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by March 31?…
 0.80% 33.50% +2
75
$3.1M
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by April 30?…
near 		13.50% 40.50% -6
75
$1.4M
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by December 31?…
near 		41.50% 53.00% -6
75
$883K
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by May 31?…
near 		26.50% 31.50% +2
75
$47K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.80% NO 99.20%
Polymarket
YES 13.50% NO 86.50%
Polymarket
YES 41.50% NO 58.50%
Polymarket
YES 26.50% NO 73.50%
Spread: 41.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 100%.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of change at 2%.
  • 3 The edge of 2 indicates the market is fairly priced.
  • 4 Confidence level of 85/100 reflects strong market stability.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 6 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.00%
Iran leadership change by March 13?…
Polymarket 0.80%
Iran leadership change by March 31?…
Polymarket 13.50%
Iran leadership change by April 30?…
Polymarket 41.50%
Iran leadership change by December 31?…
Polymarket 26.50%
Iran leadership change by May 31?…
+1 more markets
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