Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?…

0.00%

8.50%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$571K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?…

0.00%

21.50%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$571K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?…

6.50%

40.50%

AI YES

-4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$484K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?…

5.35%

21.45%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$401K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?…

28.00%

29.00%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$87K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?…	0.00%	8.50%	+2	75	$571K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?…	0.00%	21.50%	+3.5	60	$571K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?…	6.50%	40.50%	-4.5	60	$484K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?… near	5.35%	21.45%	+3.5	60	$401K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?… near	28.00%	29.00%	+3.5	60	$87K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 6.50% NO 93.50%

Polymarket

YES 5.35% NO 94.65%

Polymarket

YES 28.00% NO 72.00%

Spread: 28 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 93.5%.
2 AI model suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 8.5%.
3 Market probability indicates a well-established consensus on Khamenei's absence.
4 Confidence level of 75/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
5 Time to expiry is short, with only 33 hours remaining for potential developments.