Events › Politics › Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote i…
Politics 1 platform 9 markets

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Combined AI YES
15.8%
Avg Confidence
60/100
Combined Volume
$983K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
8.50%
12.00%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$31K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
4.85%
13.25%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$455K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
2.90%
11.45%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$415K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
9.25%
11.65%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$30K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian …
8.00%
17.50%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$25K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026…
 8.50% 12.00% +4.5
60
$31K
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026…
 4.85% 13.25% +4.5
60
$455K
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026…
 2.90% 11.45% +4.5
60
$415K
Polymarket
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026…
 9.25% 11.65% +4.5
60
$30K
Polymarket
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hunga…
near 		8.00% 17.50% +4.5
60
$25K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 8.50% NO 91.50%
Polymarket
YES 4.85% NO 95.15%
Polymarket
YES 2.90% NO 97.10%
Polymarket
YES 9.25% NO 90.75%
Polymarket
YES 8.00% NO 92.00%
Spread: 39.9 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability favors a clear NO outcome at 92.5%.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 12%.
  • 3 Current sentiment indicates skepticism about a narrow victory.
  • 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry is 758 hours, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 9 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 8.50%
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
Polymarket 4.85%
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
Polymarket 2.90%
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
Polymarket 9.25%
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hung…
Polymarket 8.00%
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian …
+4 more markets
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