Events › Geopolitics › Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?…
Geopolitics 1 platform 8 markets

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?

Combined AI YES
72.2%
Avg Confidence
60/100
Combined Volume
$139K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?…
100.00%
93.65%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$87K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?…
100.00%
71.50%
AI YES
-7.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$32K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?…
79.00%
61.50%
AI YES
-9
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$7K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?…
87.00%
68.00%
AI YES
-7.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$6K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?…
74.50%
66.50%
AI YES
-7.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$3K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?…
 100.00% 93.65% -6
75
$87K
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?…
 100.00% 71.50% -7.5
60
$32K
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?…
 79.00% 61.50% -9
55
$7K
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?…
 87.00% 68.00% -7.5
60
$6K
Polymarket
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?…
 74.50% 66.50% -7.5
60
$3K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Polymarket
YES 79.00% NO 21.00%
Polymarket
YES 87.00% NO 13.00%
Polymarket
YES 74.50% NO 25.50%
Spread: 32 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
  • 2 The NO side is undervalued by 6 points, indicating potential market inefficiency.
  • 3 Pulse AI shows a lower confidence level compared to market probability.
  • 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 149 hours remaining.
  • 5 Geopolitical dynamics could rapidly alter the likelihood of a tweet.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 8 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 100.00%
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?…
Polymarket 100.00%
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?…
Polymarket 79.00%
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?…
Polymarket 87.00%
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?…
Polymarket 74.50%
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?…
+3 more markets
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