Events › AI & Tech › Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end…
AI & Tech 1 platform 12 markets

Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Combined AI YES
10%
Avg Confidence
64/100
Combined Volume
$579K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 …
0.80%
3.80%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$61K
Volume
Polymarket
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Styl…
5.30%
6.35%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$130K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (S…
4.40%
8.00%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$129K
Volume
Polymarket
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (S…
2.10%
7.05%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$88K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (…
0.35%
3.55%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$63K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April …
 0.80% 3.80% +1.5
75
$61K
Polymarket
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 …
near 		5.30% 6.35% +3
60
$130K
Polymarket
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 20…
near 		4.40% 8.00% +3
60
$129K
Polymarket
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 20…
near 		2.10% 7.05% +3
60
$88K
Polymarket
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2…
near 		0.35% 3.55% +1.5
75
$63K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.80% NO 99.20%
Polymarket
YES 5.30% NO 94.70%
Polymarket
YES 4.40% NO 95.60%
Polymarket
YES 2.10% NO 97.90%
Polymarket
YES 0.35% NO 99.65%
Spread: 84.9 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The probability of YES is significantly lower than the AI's estimate.
  • 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
  • 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in the NO verdict.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category AI & Tech
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 12 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.80%
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 …
Polymarket 5.30%
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Styl…
Polymarket 4.40%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (S…
Polymarket 2.10%
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (S…
Polymarket 0.35%
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (…
+7 more markets
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