Markets / Politics / Donald Trump alive on January 20, 2029...
Manifold Politics Expires in 942 days OPEN

Donald Trump alive on January 20, 2029

84.95%
Market YES
15.05%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
76.39%
AI YES
45
Confidence
45
Reliability
NO side may be undervalued Edge: -7 pts

Market indicates a high probability of Trump being alive on January 20, 2029.

The prediction market shows an 83.39% probability that Donald Trump will be alive on January 20, 2029, suggesting strong sentiment in favor of this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability is lower at 76.39%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points, reflecting some uncertainty in the market.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Trump's survival.
  • 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued by 7 points.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Market dynamics may be influenced by external political factors.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Health issues affecting Trump
Major political events or scandals
Changes in public sentiment or media coverage
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $5,228
Liquidity $0
Resolves 22 Jan 2029
Status Open
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