Markets / Politics / If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arre...

Manifold Politics Expires in 1188 days OPEN

If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?

71.72%

Market YES

28.28%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

YES

Verdict

64.72%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

NO side may be undervalued Edge: -7 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 45/100. NO side may be undervalued.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $1,031

Liquidity $0

Resolves 02 Jan 2030

Status Open

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