Israel holds free and fair election in 2026?

The market predicts a high likelihood of free and fair elections in Israel in 2026.

With a market probability of 82.77% for a YES outcome, there is strong sentiment favoring the occurrence of free and fair elections in Israel in 2026. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 75.77%, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side. The confidence level of 55 out of 100 reflects moderate uncertainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side appears undervalued by 7 points compared to market consensus.
• 3 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 4 Time until the election is substantial at 7034 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Historical trends in Israeli elections may influence perceptions of fairness.