Markets / Politics / Trump leaves office over Epstein files?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 844 days OPEN

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

7%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
13%
AI YES
45
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Market shows low probability for Trump leaving office due to Epstein files.

The prediction market indicates a 7% chance of Trump leaving office over Epstein files, with a stronger consensus against this outcome at 93%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 13%, indicating potential undervaluation of the YES side by 6 points. Overall confidence in the market remains moderate at 45 out of 100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment heavily favors NO at 93%.
  • 2 Market probability for YES is notably low at 7%.
  • 3 Pulse AI indicates YES could be undervalued by 6 points.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100.
  • 5 Time to expiry is extensive at 24958 hours.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
New evidence linking Trump to Epstein
Major political shifts or scandals involving Trump
Legal developments related to Epstein files
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,812
Liquidity $0
Resolves 19 Jan 2029
Status Open
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