Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?

Low probability for Ocasio-Cortez's presidential election in 2028.

The market indicates a strong belief that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will not be elected president in 2028, with a 94.8% probability of a NO outcome. However, the AI's probability suggests a slightly higher chance for her candidacy, indicating potential undervaluation of the YES side.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 AI probability suggests a modest chance for a YES outcome, indicating potential market undervaluation.
• 3 The edge of 6 points indicates a notable discrepancy between market and AI predictions.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for significant political developments before the election.