Will another Trump cabinet member be fired before April 2026?

Market suggests low likelihood of another Trump cabinet member being fired before April 2026.

The market shows a strong preference for the 'NO' outcome at 91%, indicating skepticism about further cabinet dismissals. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 15%, indicating potential undervaluation of this outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 380 hours, there is room for market sentiment to shift.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' significantly at 91%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a higher likelihood for 'YES' at 15%, suggesting potential undervaluation.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in the market.
• 4 Time to expiry of 380 hours allows for potential developments that could influence outcomes.
• 5 Edge of 6 points indicates a notable discrepancy between market sentiment and AI predictions.