Will Biden die before end of hypothetical 2nd term?

Market suggests a low probability of Biden dying before a hypothetical second term ends.

The prediction market indicates a 36.65% probability of Biden dying before the end of a hypothetical second term, with a stronger consensus on the 'NO' side at 63.35%. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a balanced view on this sensitive topic.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards Biden surviving his hypothetical second term.
• 2 The probabilities from the market and Pulse AI are closely aligned, indicating stability.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant bias.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50, reflecting uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 The long time to expiry allows for potential shifts based on future developments.