Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Chris Hipkins has a 61.77% chance to lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election.

The market indicates a 61.77% probability that Chris Hipkins will lead the NZ Labour Party into the next election, suggesting a favorable outlook. However, the Pulse AI probability is lower at 54.77%, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a significant time to expiry, the market remains uncertain.

• 1 Current sentiment favors Hipkins but shows significant uncertainty.
• 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued by 7 points.
• 3 The market has a moderate confidence level of 55/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 5074 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Political events could rapidly influence market probabilities.