Will Democrats control the senate on 1 Feb 2027?

49.14%

Market YES

50.86%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

TOO CLOSE

Verdict

52.64%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +3.5 pts

The market shows a near-even split on Democratic control of the Senate by February 2027.

Current market probabilities indicate a tight race for Senate control, with Democrats at 49.14% and Republicans slightly ahead at 50.86%. The Pulse AI suggests a slight edge for Democrats at 52.64%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100, indicating uncertainty in the political landscape leading up to the date in question.

AI Market Analysis

1 Market is highly competitive with a narrow margin between YES and NO probabilities.
2 Pulse AI indicates a slight preference for Democratic control compared to market consensus.
3 Confidence level of 50/100 reflects uncertainty in political dynamics.
4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
5 Edge of 3.5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment of outcomes.