Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?

Market indicates low probability of Democrats losing and regaining Senate control.

The market shows a 23.36% probability that Democrats will lose control of the Senate in 2024 and 2026, but regain it in 2028. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 26.86%, suggesting some uncertainty remains. However, the overall sentiment leans towards Democrats maintaining control, with a confidence level of 40 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment favors Democrats retaining Senate control.
• 2 Market probabilities reflect uncertainty in future elections.
• 3 Historical trends may influence voter behavior in 2024 and 2026.
• 4 Liquidity is moderate, indicating some interest but limited trading activity.
• 5 Time to expiry suggests potential shifts as elections approach.