Markets / Politics / Will Donald Trump attempt to suspend, delay, or reschedule t...
Manifold Politics Expires in 605 days OPEN

Will Donald Trump attempt to suspend, delay, or reschedule the 2028 elections?

22.67%
Market YES
77.33%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
25.5%
AI YES
45
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +1.5 pts

Market indicates low probability of Trump attempting to alter the 2028 elections.

The prediction market shows a 24% chance that Donald Trump will attempt to suspend, delay, or reschedule the 2028 elections, with a stronger consensus against this action at 76%. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO side.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO at 76%.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market odds, indicating stability.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100, suggesting uncertainty remains.
  • 4 Time to expiry is extensive at 17145 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Market liquidity appears adequate, supporting current pricing dynamics.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Emergence of significant political unrest or crisis
Trump making public statements indicating intent to alter election timing
Legal challenges or changes in election laws affecting the process
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $20,448
Liquidity $0
Resolves 13 Mar 2028
Status Open
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