Markets / Politics / Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second...
Manifold Politics Expires in 896 days OPEN

Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

5.87%
Market YES
94.13%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
11.47%
AI YES
45
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Low probability of Trump being impeached and removed during his second term.

The market indicates a strong belief that Donald Trump will not be impeached and removed, with a 94.53% probability for 'NO'. However, the Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood of 11.47% for 'YES', indicating potential undervaluation of impeachment risks.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
  • 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a notable divergence from market consensus.
  • 3 The edge indicates potential for reevaluation of impeachment risks.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting uncertainty in political dynamics.
  • 5 Time to expiry allows for significant developments to influence the market.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
New evidence of misconduct emerges
Significant shifts in public opinion or political landscape
Changes in congressional control or leadership dynamics
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $36,069
Liquidity $0
Resolves 22 Jan 2029
Status Open
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