Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Market indicates low probability of Trump dying or becoming seriously ill before term ends.

The market shows a 20.42% probability for Trump's death or serious illness, suggesting a strong belief in his health stability. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 21.92%, indicating a marginally increased concern. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards Trump's health stability.
• 2 The probabilities reflect a consensus on his resilience.
• 3 Historical data shows low incidence of serious health issues for public figures in similar positions.
• 4 Liquidity in this market may affect the responsiveness to new information.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts based on unfolding events.