Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?

Low probability for Biden or Trump winning in 2028, with a slight undervaluation on YES side.

The market indicates a strong belief that neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump will be elected President in 2028, with a NO probability of 97.55%. However, the Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood of 8.45% for a YES outcome, indicating a potential undervaluation of the YES side by 6 points. The confidence level is moderate at 45/100, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The YES side is perceived as undervalued based on AI analysis.
• 3 Confidence in predictions is moderate, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in the political landscape.
• 5 Historical trends suggest incumbents often have an advantage, but both candidates face unique challenges.